List of marginal seats before the 2024 United Kingdom general election

The 2024 United Kingdom general election was held on 4 July 2024. This list shows the most marginal seats, ie those needing the smallest swing to be won by each of the political parties, according to notional results from the previous election in 2019, as applied to the 2024 constituency boundaries.[1][2] The term "target seats" is sometimes used to describe seats requiring a low swing, but it is also used to refer to the seats on which a party has chosen to "target" its campaigning. The list of a party's target seats is not made public.[3][4]

Owing to boundary changes following the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, these target seats are determined by notional results of the previous election using the new constituencies as if they were contested in 2019.[5]

  1. ^ Leach, Anna; Hoog, Niels de. "UK general election: the seats the Tories will lose if the polls are right". the Guardian. Retrieved 5 May 2024.
  2. ^ "Election 2024: The key seats to watch out for as date set for 4 July". Sky News. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  3. ^ Moules, James (5 July 2024). "Leeds North West general election result: Meet new MP Katie White". LabourList. Retrieved 23 July 2024. Labour's target seat list is not public, but this seat ranks 14th on LabourList's unofficial list of targets – based on the smallest swings required versus the 2019 election.
  4. ^ Shirreff, Lauren (22 May 2024). "How eight seats could define the general election". The Telegraph. ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  5. ^ "List of general election top target seats, by party". The Independent. 16 January 2024. Retrieved 5 May 2024.

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